Mingəçevir 60%Draw 22%Difai Ağsu 19%Expected goals 1.86 – 1.11
60%
Betarazi pick
Mingəçevir to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultMingəçevir to win ✓60% · @1.30
Double chanceMingəçevir or draw ✓81% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.15
Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mingəçevir welcome Difai Ağsu for a Birinci Dasta fixture on Thursday 16 April (13:00 WAT).
Current form
Mingəçevir, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Şimal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Difai Ağsu, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Şahdağ, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Mingəçevir, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Difai Ağsu.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mingəçevir 1.9 xG, Difai Ağsu 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mingəçevir 60%, draw 22%, Difai Ağsu 19%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mingəçevir to win (60%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mingəçevir 2–1 Difai Ağsu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mingəçevir60%fair 1.67 · @1.30
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.50
Difai Ağsu19%fair 5.40 · @8.00
2.97Expected goals
1.86Mingəçevir xG
1.11Difai Ağsu xG
57%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Mingəçevir 1.9 – 1.1 Difai Ağsu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mingəçevir to win✓
60%
1.67
1.30
Double chance
Mingəçevir or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Draw no bet
Mingəçevir (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Difai Ağsu +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Mingəçevir to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Mingəçevir ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mingəçevir / FT Mingəçevir✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Mingəçevir – last 6
WWDLWW
9 Apr
@ Şimal
3–0
W
3 Apr
vs Safa Baku
5–2
W
18 Mar
@ Baku Sportinq
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Səbail
0–1
L
5 Mar
@ Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs MOIK
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Difai Ağsu – last 6
LLDLLL
9 Apr
vs Şahdağ
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Zaqatala
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Cəbrayıl
1–1
D
12 Mar
vs Baku Sportinq
1–3
L
6 Mar
@ MOIK
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Safa Baku
1–8
L
0.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mingəçevir and Difai Ağsu.
What is the prediction for Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu?
Our pick is Mingəçevir to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu?
On our numbers Mingəçevir have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Difai Ağsu 19%.
How many goals will there be in Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu?
Our predicted score is Mingəçevir 2–1 Difai Ağsu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu?
Mingəçevir vs Difai Ağsu (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Safa Baku0