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Wellington Phoenix v Western Sydney Wanderers: numbers & prediction

A League · Australia · Apollo Projects Stadium
Wellington Phoenix 44%Draw 24%Western Sydney Wanderers 33% Expected goals 1.60 – 1.30
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultWellington Phoenix to win ✓44% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.91

Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wellington Phoenix welcome Western Sydney Wanderers to Apollo Projects Stadium for a A League fixture on Saturday 18 April (06:00 WAT). In the table, Wellington Phoenix are 1st, leading the league, on 10 points after 4 matches; Western Sydney Wanderers are 6th (upper half) with 5.

Current form

Wellington Phoenix, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Melbourne City, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Western Sydney Wanderers, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sydney, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Wellington Phoenix, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Western Sydney Wanderers 2–2 Wellington Phoenix.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wellington Phoenix 1.6 xG, Western Sydney Wanderers 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wellington Phoenix 44%, draw 24%, Western Sydney Wanderers 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wellington Phoenix 1–1 Western Sydney Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wellington Phoenix44%fair 2.30 · @2.28
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.80
Western Sydney Wanderers33%fair 3.08 · @2.72
2.90Expected goals
1.60Wellington Phoenix xG
1.30Western Sydney Wanderers xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Wellington Phoenix 1.6 – 1.3 Western Sydney Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWellington Phoenix to win ✓44%2.302.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.44
Draw no betWellington Phoenix (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapWestern Sydney Wanderers +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.601.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.25
First team to scoreWellington Phoenix to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wellington Phoenix / FT Wellington Phoenix ✗27%3.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.91–

Recent results

Wellington Phoenix – last 6

LWWWDL
12 Apr@ Melbourne City0–2L
5 Apr@ Melbourne Victory1–0W
21 Mar@ Brisbane Roar2–1W
14 Marvs Perth Glory2–0W
6 Mar@ Adelaide United1–1D
1 Marvs Sydney0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Western Sydney Wanderers – last 6

LLLDLW
11 Aprvs Sydney0–2L
4 Apr@ Melbourne City0–3L
20 Marvs Adelaide United2–4L
13 Mar@ Brisbane Roar2–2D
7 Mar@ Newcastle Jets1–2L
28 Feb@ Macarthur4–0W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Feb 2026Western Sydney Wanderers v Wellington Phoenix2–2
Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers head-to-head page →

A League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix4310+610
2Sydney4211+37
3Brisbane Roar3210+27
4Melbourne City421107
5Perth Glory4202+36
6Western Sydney Wanderers4121+25
7Macarthur412105
8Auckland4121-15
9Melbourne Victory4031-13
10Newcastle Jets4022-42
11Central Coast Mariners4022-52
12Adelaide United3012-51

More A League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

On our numbers Wellington Phoenix have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Western Sydney Wanderers 33%.

How many goals will there be in Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Wellington Phoenix 1–1 Western Sydney Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers (A League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Apollo Projects Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.