Sydney 57%Draw 23%Perth Glory 20%Expected goals 1.72 – 0.97
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultSydney to win ✗57% · @1.54
Double chanceSydney or draw ✓80% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Sydney vs Perth Glory: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sydney welcome Perth Glory to Sydney Football Stadium for a A League fixture on Saturday 18 April (10:35 WAT). In the table, Sydney are 2nd, among the top four, on 7 points after 4 matches; Perth Glory are 5th (upper half) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sydney, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Western Sydney Wanderers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Perth Glory, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Macarthur, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sydney 1.7 xG, Perth Glory 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sydney 57%, draw 23%, Perth Glory 20%.
Lower-risk option: Sydney or draw (80%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sydney 1–0 Perth Glory. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sydney57%fair 1.74 · @1.54
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @4.20
Perth Glory20%fair 5.10 · @5.40
2.70Expected goals
1.72Sydney xG
0.97Perth Glory xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sydney 1.7 – 1.0 Perth Glory expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sydney to win✗
57%
1.74
1.54
Double chance
Sydney or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.62
Draw no bet
Sydney (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Perth Glory +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.22
First team to score
Sydney to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sydney / FT Sydney✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Sydney – last 6
WDLLDW
11 Apr
@ Western Sydney Wanderers
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Brisbane Roar
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs Newcastle Jets
1–2
L
17 Mar
vs Melbourne City
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Melbourne Victory
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Wellington Phoenix
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Perth Glory – last 6
WDDLDD
12 Apr
vs Macarthur
3–1
W
4 Apr
@ Central Coast Mariners
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Melbourne City
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Wellington Phoenix
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Auckland
2–2
D
28 Feb
@ Brisbane Roar
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sydney and Perth Glory.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Sydney vs Perth Glory?
On our numbers Sydney have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Perth Glory 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sydney vs Perth Glory?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sydney vs Perth Glory?
Our predicted score is Sydney 1–0 Perth Glory, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sydney vs Perth Glory?
Sydney vs Perth Glory (A League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 10:35 (West Africa Time) at Sydney Football Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
