Value bet: Brisbane Roar to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMelbourne City to win ✓43% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Melbourne City travel to face Brisbane Roar on Saturday 18 April in the A League, with Suncorp Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 08:00 WAT. In the table, Brisbane Roar are 3rd, among the top four, on 7 points after 3 matches; Melbourne City are 4th (among the top four) with 7. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Brisbane Roar, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Central Coast Mariners, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Melbourne City, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Wellington Phoenix, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Melbourne City, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Brisbane Roar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brisbane Roar 1.4 xG, Melbourne City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brisbane Roar 33%, draw 24%, Melbourne City 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Brisbane Roar to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brisbane Roar 1–1 Melbourne City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brisbane Roar33%fair 3.06 · @3.35
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.50
Melbourne City43%fair 2.31 · @2.06
2.81Expected goals
1.37Brisbane Roar xG
1.44Melbourne City xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Brisbane Roar 1.4 – 1.4 Melbourne City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne City to win✓
43%
2.31
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.70
Draw no bet
Melbourne City (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Brisbane Roar +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
Melbourne City to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne City / FT Melbourne City✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
Brisbane Roar – last 6
DDLDDL
10 Apr
@ Central Coast Mariners
2–2
D
2 Apr
vs Sydney
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs Wellington Phoenix
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
2–2
D
28 Feb
vs Perth Glory
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Sydney
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Melbourne City – last 6
WWWDWD
12 Apr
vs Wellington Phoenix
2–0
W
7 Apr
vs Central Coast Mariners
2–1
W
4 Apr
vs Western Sydney Wanderers
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Perth Glory
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Sydney
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Buriram United
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City.
What is the prediction for Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City?
On our numbers Brisbane Roar have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Melbourne City 43%.
How many goals will there be in Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City?
Our predicted score is Brisbane Roar 1–1 Melbourne City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City?
Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City (A League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Suncorp Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
