Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultGOR Mahia to win ✓46% · @1.62
Double chanceGOR Mahia or draw ✓76% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.89
APS Bomet vs GOR Mahia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the FKF Premier League brings APS Bomet against GOR Mahia at Gusii Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, APS Bomet are 13th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; GOR Mahia are 1st (leading the league) with 13.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give APS Bomet 0.9 xG, GOR Mahia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – APS Bomet 24%, draw 30%, GOR Mahia 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: APS Bomet 0–1 GOR Mahia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
APS Bomet24%fair 4.19 · @5.00
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @3.30
GOR Mahia46%fair 2.19 · @1.62
1.99Expected goals
0.93APS Bomet xG
1.06GOR Mahia xG
41%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: APS Bomet 0.9 – 1.1 GOR Mahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
APS Bomet
GOR Mahia
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-10%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-41%
-20%
Our expected goals here
0.84
0.62
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GOR Mahia to win✓
46%
2.19
1.62
Double chance
GOR Mahia or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
GOR Mahia (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
APS Bomet +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
GOR Mahia to score first✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.89
–
Recent results
APS Bomet
No recent results on record.
GOR Mahia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APS Bomet and GOR Mahia.
What is the prediction for APS Bomet vs GOR Mahia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win APS Bomet vs GOR Mahia?
On our numbers APS Bomet have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 30% and GOR Mahia 46%.
How many goals will there be in APS Bomet vs GOR Mahia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APS Bomet vs GOR Mahia?
Our predicted score is APS Bomet 0–1 GOR Mahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is APS Bomet vs GOR Mahia?
APS Bomet vs GOR Mahia (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gusii Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kariobangi Sharks1
Sofapaka2
Police1