Sofapaka 29%Draw 26%Murang'a SEAL 46%Expected goals 1.06 – 1.53
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Murang'a SEAL to win @ 2.60 – our chance 46% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMurang'a SEAL to win ✓46% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.73
Sofapaka vs Murang'a SEAL: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sofapaka welcome Murang'a SEAL to Kasarani Annex Stadium for a FKF Premier League fixture on Sunday 15 February (13:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sofapaka 1.1 xG, Murang'a SEAL 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sofapaka 29%, draw 26%, Murang'a SEAL 46%.
Price worth noting: Murang'a SEAL to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sofapaka 1–1 Murang'a SEAL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sofapaka29%fair 3.47 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.88
Murang'a SEAL46%fair 2.19 · @2.60
2.59Expected goals
1.06Sofapaka xG
1.53Murang'a SEAL xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sofapaka 1.1 – 1.5 Murang'a SEAL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sofapaka
Murang'a SEAL
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-24%
+58%
Goals conceded vs average
+49%
+42%
Our expected goals here
1.28
2.07
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murang'a SEAL to win✓
46%
2.19
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Murang'a SEAL (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Sofapaka +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Murang'a SEAL to score first
54%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murang'a SEAL / FT Murang'a SEAL✓
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.73
–
Recent results
Sofapaka
No recent results on record.
Murang'a SEAL
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sofapaka and Murang'a SEAL.
What is the prediction for Sofapaka vs Murang'a SEAL?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Sofapaka vs Murang'a SEAL?
On our numbers Sofapaka have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Murang'a SEAL 46%.
How many goals will there be in Sofapaka vs Murang'a SEAL?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sofapaka vs Murang'a SEAL?
Our predicted score is Sofapaka 1–1 Murang'a SEAL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sofapaka vs Murang'a SEAL?
Sofapaka vs Murang'a SEAL (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kasarani Annex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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