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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ulinzi Stars v Police: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Ulinzi Sports Complex
Ulinzi Stars 31%Draw 33%Police 36% Expected goals 0.75 – 0.83
69%
Betarazi pick

Police or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultPolice to win ✗36% · @2.45
Double chancePolice or draw ✓69% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.85

Ulinzi Stars vs Police: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Police travel to face Ulinzi Stars on Sunday 15 February in the FKF Premier League, with Ulinzi Sports Complex the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ulinzi Stars 0.8 xG, Police 0.8 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 79% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ulinzi Stars 31%, draw 33%, Police 36%.
  • Lower-risk option: Police or draw (69%) at 1.36.
  • GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Police or draw (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulinzi Stars 0–0 Police. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ulinzi Stars31%fair 3.24 · @2.90
Draw33%fair 3.01 · @2.60
Police36%fair 2.78 · @2.45
1.58Expected goals
0.75Ulinzi Stars xG
0.83Police xG
43%Both score
21%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–021%
0–117%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 0.8 – 0.8 Police expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ulinzi StarsPolice
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-11%-13%
Goals conceded vs average-2%-33%
Our expected goals here0.700.76

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPolice to win ✗36%2.782.45
Double chancePolice or draw ✓69%1.451.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.741.44
Draw no betPolice (draw no bet)54%1.86–
Asian handicapUlinzi Stars +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scorePolice to score first ✓42%2.40–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗56%1.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗28%3.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%5.85–

Recent results

Ulinzi Stars

No recent results on record.

Police

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and Police.

Ulinzi Stars vs Police head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Police?

Our pick is Police or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Police?

On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Police 36%.

How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs Police?

We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 21% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs Police?

Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 0–0 Police, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.

When is Ulinzi Stars vs Police?

Ulinzi Stars vs Police (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulinzi Sports Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.