Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.04
Police vs APS Bomet: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Police welcome APS Bomet to Police Sacco Stadium for a FKF Premier League fixture on Sunday 22 February (12:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Police 0.9 xG, APS Bomet 0.6 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 80% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Police 45%, draw 34%, APS Bomet 21%.
Lower-risk option: Police or draw (79%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (53%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Police 1–1 APS Bomet. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Police45%fair 2.21 · @1.85
Draw34%fair 2.93 · @3.00
APS Bomet21%fair 4.83 · @4.10
1.52Expected goals
0.90Police xG
0.61APS Bomet xG
38%Both score
20%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
1–020%
0–113%
1–112%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Police 0.9 – 0.6 APS Bomet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Police
APS Bomet
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-13%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-33%
-41%
Our expected goals here
0.60
0.53
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win✗
45%
2.21
1.85
Double chance
Police or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
Police (draw no bet)
69%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
APS Bomet +1 (Asian handicap)✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
Police to score first✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.04
–
Recent results
Police – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
APS Bomet – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs GOR Mahia
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Police and APS Bomet.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Police vs APS Bomet?
On our numbers Police have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 34% and APS Bomet 21%.
How many goals will there be in Police vs APS Bomet?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 20% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police vs APS Bomet?
Our predicted score is Police 1–1 APS Bomet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Police vs APS Bomet?
Police vs APS Bomet (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Police Sacco Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
