GOR Mahia 55%Draw 27%KCB 17%Expected goals 1.38 – 0.75
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultGOR Mahia to win ✓55% · @1.65
Double chanceGOR Mahia or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.10
GOR Mahia vs KCB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
KCB travel to face GOR Mahia on Sunday 22 February in the FKF Premier League, with Moi International Sports Centre the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, GOR Mahia are 1st, leading the league, on 13 points after 6 matches; KCB are 2nd (among the top four) with 13. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give GOR Mahia 1.4 xG, KCB 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – GOR Mahia 55%, draw 27%, KCB 17%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: GOR Mahia 1–0 KCB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
GOR Mahia55%fair 1.81 · @1.65
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.25
KCB17%fair 5.74 · @5.25
2.13Expected goals
1.38GOR Mahia xG
0.75KCB xG
40%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: GOR Mahia 1.4 – 0.7 KCB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
GOR Mahia
KCB
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+20%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
-20%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.27
0.83
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GOR Mahia to win✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Double chance
GOR Mahia or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Draw no bet
GOR Mahia (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
KCB +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
GOR Mahia to score first✓
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia✓
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.10
–
Recent results
GOR Mahia – last 1
W
15 Feb
@ APS Bomet
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
KCB – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GOR Mahia and KCB.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win GOR Mahia vs KCB?
On our numbers GOR Mahia have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and KCB 17%.
How many goals will there be in GOR Mahia vs KCB?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GOR Mahia vs KCB?
Our predicted score is GOR Mahia 1–0 KCB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is GOR Mahia vs KCB?
GOR Mahia vs KCB (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Moi International Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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