Mara Sugar 51%Draw 28%Ulinzi Stars 21%Expected goals 1.26 – 0.72
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultMara Sugar to win ✓51% · @1.83
Double chanceMara Sugar or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.75
Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mara Sugar welcome Ulinzi Stars to Green Stadium for a FKF Premier League fixture on Sunday 22 February (12:00 WAT). In the table, Mara Sugar are 6th, upper half, on 9 points after 6 matches; Ulinzi Stars are 14th (lower half) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mara Sugar 1.3 xG, Ulinzi Stars 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mara Sugar 51%, draw 28%, Ulinzi Stars 21%.
Lower-risk option: Mara Sugar or draw (79%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mara Sugar 1–0 Ulinzi Stars. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mara Sugar51%fair 1.96 · @1.83
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.00
Ulinzi Stars21%fair 4.77 · @4.20
1.98Expected goals
1.26Mara Sugar xG
0.72Ulinzi Stars xG
42%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–014%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mara Sugar 1.3 – 0.7 Ulinzi Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mara Sugar
Ulinzi Stars
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+6%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.22
0.75
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mara Sugar to win✓
51%
1.96
1.83
Double chance
Mara Sugar or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
Mara Sugar (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Ulinzi Stars +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Mara Sugar to score first✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mara Sugar / FT Mara Sugar✓
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.75
–
Recent results
Mara Sugar
No recent results on record.
Ulinzi Stars – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Police
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mara Sugar and Ulinzi Stars.
What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?
On our numbers Mara Sugar have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ulinzi Stars 21%.
How many goals will there be in Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our predicted score is Mara Sugar 1–0 Ulinzi Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars?
Mara Sugar vs Ulinzi Stars (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Green Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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