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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shabana v Kariobangi Sharks: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Gusii Stadium
1–2
FT
Shabana 47%Draw 29%Kariobangi Sharks 24% Expected goals 1.14 – 0.83
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultShabana to win ✗47% · @1.85
Double chanceShabana or draw ✗76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.30

Shabana vs Kariobangi Sharks: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Shabana v Kariobangi Sharks in the FKF Premier League, played at Gusii Stadium.

Current form

Shabana, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to AFC Leopards, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Kariobangi Sharks, last 4: LWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tusker, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Shabana, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Kariobangi Sharks.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shabana 1.1 xG, Kariobangi Sharks 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shabana 47%, draw 29%, Kariobangi Sharks 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Shabana or draw (76%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shabana 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shabana47%fair 2.14 · @1.85
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @3.00
Kariobangi Sharks24%fair 4.10 · @4.10
1.97Expected goals
1.14Shabana xG
0.83Kariobangi Sharks xG
41%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Shabana 1.1 – 0.8 Kariobangi Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ShabanaKariobangi Sharks
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-14%+13%
Goals conceded vs average-11%+1%
Our expected goals here1.020.89

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShabana to win ✗47%2.141.85
Double chanceShabana or draw ✗76%1.321.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗59%1.69–
Draw no betShabana (draw no bet) ✗66%1.52–
Asian handicapKariobangi Sharks +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67%1.491.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreShabana to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shabana / FT Shabana ✗24%4.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.30–

Recent results

Shabana – last 3

LWW
1 Mar@ AFC Leopards1–5L
25 Feb@ Mathare United1–0W
21 Febvs Tusker1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kariobangi Sharks – last 4

LWDD
2 Marvs Tusker1–2L
26 Feb@ APS Bomet1–0W
21 Febvs Mathare United1–1D
15 Feb@ KCB1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Shabana and Kariobangi Sharks.

Shabana vs Kariobangi Sharks head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shabana vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Shabana vs Kariobangi Sharks?

On our numbers Shabana have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Kariobangi Sharks 24%.

How many goals will there be in Shabana vs Kariobangi Sharks?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shabana vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Our predicted score is Shabana 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Shabana vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Shabana vs Kariobangi Sharks (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gusii Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.