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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ulinzi Stars v GOR Mahia: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Ulinzi Sports Complex
1–3
FT
Ulinzi Stars 20%Draw 28%GOR Mahia 52% Expected goals 0.80 – 1.27
64%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultGOR Mahia to win ✓52% · @1.65
Double chanceGOR Mahia or draw ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.24

Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

GOR Mahia travel to face Ulinzi Stars on Sunday 15 March in the FKF Premier League, with Ulinzi Sports Complex the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Ulinzi Stars are 14th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; GOR Mahia are 1st (leading the league) with 13.

Current form

Ulinzi Stars, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bidco United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

GOR Mahia, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Posta Rangers FC, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours GOR Mahia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Ulinzi Stars.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ulinzi Stars 0.8 xG, GOR Mahia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ulinzi Stars 20%, draw 28%, GOR Mahia 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulinzi Stars 0–1 GOR Mahia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ulinzi Stars20%fair 5.01 · @5.00
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.20
GOR Mahia52%fair 1.93 · @1.65
2.07Expected goals
0.80Ulinzi Stars xG
1.27GOR Mahia xG
42%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%
1–113%
0–013%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%

From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 0.8 – 1.3 GOR Mahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Ulinzi StarsGOR Mahia
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-11%+20%
Goals conceded vs average-2%-20%
Our expected goals here0.841.04

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGOR Mahia to win ✓52%1.931.65
Double chanceGOR Mahia or draw ✓80%1.251.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗58%1.73–
Draw no betGOR Mahia (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapUlinzi Stars +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreGOR Mahia to score first ✓53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT GOR Mahia / FT GOR Mahia ✓27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16%6.24–

Recent results

Ulinzi Stars – last 4

LDLD
2 Mar@ Bidco United0–1L
26 Febvs Homeboyz1–1D
22 Feb@ Mara Sugar1–2L
15 Febvs Police1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

GOR Mahia – last 3

DWW
5 Mar@ Posta Rangers FC1–1D
22 Febvs KCB3–0W
15 Feb@ APS Bomet2–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and GOR Mahia.

Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia?

On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 28% and GOR Mahia 52%.

How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia?

Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 0–1 GOR Mahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia?

Ulinzi Stars vs GOR Mahia (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Ulinzi Sports Complex.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.