Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultItaly to win ✓62% · @1.26
Double chanceItaly or draw ✓84% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Italy vs Northern Ireland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 26 March the World Cup Qualification Europe brings Italy against Northern Ireland at New Balance Arena. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Italy 1.7 xG, Northern Ireland 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Italy 62%, draw 22%, Northern Ireland 16%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Italy 1–1 Northern Ireland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Italy62%fair 1.61 · @1.26
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @5.20
Northern Ireland16%fair 6.39 · @13.50
2.71Expected goals
1.75Italy xG
0.96Northern Ireland xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Italy 1.7 – 1.0 Northern Ireland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Italy to win✓
62%
1.61
1.26
Double chance
Italy or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.35 ▲
Draw no bet
Italy (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Northern Ireland +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.14
First team to score
Italy to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Italy / FT Italy✗
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Italy
No recent results on record.
Northern Ireland
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Italy and Northern Ireland.
What is the prediction for Italy vs Northern Ireland?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Italy vs Northern Ireland?
On our numbers Italy have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Northern Ireland 16%.
How many goals will there be in Italy vs Northern Ireland?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Italy vs Northern Ireland?
Our predicted score is Italy 1–1 Northern Ireland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Italy vs Northern Ireland?
Italy vs Northern Ireland (World Cup Qualification Europe) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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