Value bet: Ukraine to win @ 3.15 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSweden to win ✓38% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Ukraine vs Sweden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sweden travel to face Ukraine on Thursday 26 March in the World Cup Qualification Europe, with Ciudad de Valencia the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ukraine 1.3 xG, Sweden 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ukraine 36%, draw 27%, Sweden 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Ukraine to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ukraine 1–1 Sweden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ukraine36%fair 2.81 · @3.15
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.15
Sweden38%fair 2.64 · @2.35
2.76Expected goals
1.35Ukraine xG
1.42Sweden xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Ukraine 1.3 – 1.4 Sweden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sweden to win✓
38%
2.64
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Sweden (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Ukraine +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Sweden to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sweden / FT Sweden✓
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Ukraine
No recent results on record.
Sweden
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ukraine and Sweden.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Ukraine vs Sweden?
On our numbers Ukraine have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sweden 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ukraine vs Sweden?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ukraine vs Sweden?
Our predicted score is Ukraine 1–1 Sweden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Ukraine vs Sweden?
Ukraine vs Sweden (World Cup Qualification Europe) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad de Valencia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Türkiye1
Romania0
Czech Republic2
Rep. Of Ireland2
Denmark4
FYR Macedonia0
Italy2
Northern Ireland0
Poland2
Albania1
Slovakia3
Kosovo4
Wales1
Bosnia & Herzegovina1