Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPoland to win ✓53% · @1.69
Double chancePoland or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.21
Poland vs Albania: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Thursday 26 March: Poland v Albania in the World Cup Qualification Europe, played at PGE Narodowy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Poland 1.4 xG, Albania 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Poland 53%, draw 25%, Albania 21%.
Lower-risk option: Poland or draw (79%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Poland 1–0 Albania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Poland53%fair 1.88 · @1.69
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.45
Albania21%fair 4.70 · @5.60
2.34Expected goals
1.42Poland xG
0.92Albania xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Poland 1.4 – 0.9 Albania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Poland to win✓
53%
1.88
1.69
Double chance
Poland or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Poland (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Albania +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Poland to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Poland / FT Poland✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Poland
No recent results on record.
Albania
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Poland and Albania.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Poland vs Albania?
On our numbers Poland have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Albania 21%.
How many goals will there be in Poland vs Albania?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Poland vs Albania?
Our predicted score is Poland 1–0 Albania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Poland vs Albania?
Poland vs Albania (World Cup Qualification Europe) kicks off on Thursday 26 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at PGE Narodowy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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