On Thursday 5 March the Cup brings Kapaz against Turan. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT.
Current form
Kapaz, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sumqayıt, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Turan, last 4: DWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mil-Muğan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Turan, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Kapaz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kapaz 1.0 xG, Turan 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kapaz 19%, draw 28%, Turan 53%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kapaz 0–1 Turan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kapaz19%fair 5.25 · @6.50
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.75
Turan53%fair 1.89 · @1.48
2.37Expected goals
0.95Kapaz xG
1.42Turan xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–29%
0–09%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: Kapaz 1.0 – 1.4 Turan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Turan to win✓
53%
1.89
1.48
Double chance
Turan or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.91
Draw no bet
Turan (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Kapaz +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Turan to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Turan / FT Turan✓
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Kapaz – last 3
WLL
27 Feb
vs Sumqayıt
3–0
W
22 Feb
@ Sabah FA
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Neftchi Baku
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Turan – last 4
DWWD
1 Mar
vs Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
24 Feb
@ Qabala
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Zira
2–0
W
16 Feb
@ Keshla FC
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kapaz and Turan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kapaz vs Turan?
On our numbers Kapaz have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Turan 53%.
How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Turan?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Turan?
Our predicted score is Kapaz 0–1 Turan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Kapaz vs Turan?
Kapaz vs Turan (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Qabala2
Sabah FA2