Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 57% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIran to win ✗51% · @1.77
Double chanceIran or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Iran vs New Zealand: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New Zealand travel to face Iran on Tuesday 16 June in the World Cup, with SoFi Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Iran, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Gambia, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
New Zealand, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to England, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Iran, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for New Zealand.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iran 1.6 xG, New Zealand 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iran 51%, draw 26%, New Zealand 23%.
Lower-risk option: Iran or draw (77%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iran 1–1 New Zealand. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iran51%fair 1.96 · @1.77
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.45
New Zealand23%fair 4.41 · @4.90
2.68Expected goals
1.57Iran xG
1.11New Zealand xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Iran 1.6 – 1.1 New Zealand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iran to win✗
51%
1.96
1.77
Double chance
Iran or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Iran (draw no bet)
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
New Zealand +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.05
First team to score
Iran to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iran / FT Iran✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Iran – last 3
WWL
29 May
vs Gambia
3–1
W
31 Mar
@ Costa Rica
5–0
W
27 Mar
vs Nigeria
1–2
L
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
New Zealand – last 4
LLWL
6 Jun
@ England
0–1
L
3 Jun
@ Haiti
0–4
L
30 Mar
vs Chile
4–1
W
27 Mar
vs Finland
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iran and New Zealand.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Iran vs New Zealand?
On our numbers Iran have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and New Zealand 23%.
How many goals will there be in Iran vs New Zealand?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iran vs New Zealand?
Our predicted score is Iran 1–1 New Zealand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Iran vs New Zealand?
Iran vs New Zealand (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at SoFi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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