Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 55% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNorway to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chanceNorway or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Iraq vs Norway: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Norway travel to face Iraq on Tuesday 16 June in the World Cup, with Gillette Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Iraq, last 4: LDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Venezuela, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Norway, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Morocco, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Iraq, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Norway.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iraq 1.1 xG, Norway 2.1 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iraq 15%, draw 19%, Norway 67%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Norway to win (67%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iraq 1–2 Norway. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iraq15%fair 6.82 · @10.00
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @6.75
Norway67%fair 1.50 · @1.22
3.25Expected goals
1.11Iraq xG
2.14Norway xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Iraq 1.1 – 2.1 Norway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Norway to win✓
67%
1.50
1.22
Double chance
Norway or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Norway (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Norway -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.20
First team to score
Norway to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Norway ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Norway / FT Norway✓
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Recent results
Iraq – last 4
LDWW
10 Jun
vs Venezuela
0–2
L
4 Jun
@ Spain
1–1
D
29 May
vs Andorra
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Bolivia
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Norway – last 4
DWDL
7 Jun
@ Morocco
1–1
D
1 Jun
vs Sweden
3–1
W
31 Mar
vs Switzerland
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Netherlands
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iraq and Norway.
Our pick is Norway to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Iraq vs Norway?
On our numbers Iraq have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Norway 67%.
How many goals will there be in Iraq vs Norway?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iraq vs Norway?
Our predicted score is Iraq 1–2 Norway, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Iraq vs Norway?
Iraq vs Norway (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.