Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFrance to win ✓60% · @1.49
Double chanceFrance or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
France vs Senegal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Tuesday 16 June: France v Senegal in the World Cup, played at MetLife Stadium.
Current form
France, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Northern Ireland, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Senegal, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Saudi Arabia, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours France, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Senegal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give France 1.9 xG, Senegal 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – France 60%, draw 23%, Senegal 16%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: France 1–1 Senegal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
France60%fair 1.66 · @1.49
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @4.20
Senegal16%fair 6.13 · @6.75
2.82Expected goals
1.86France xG
0.96Senegal xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: France 1.9 – 1.0 Senegal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
France to win✓
60%
1.66
1.49
Double chance
France or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
France (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Senegal +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
France to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
France ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT France / FT France✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
France – last 4
WLWW
8 Jun
vs Northern Ireland
3–1
W
4 Jun
vs Ivory Coast
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Colombia
3–1
W
26 Mar
@ Brazil
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Senegal – last 3
DLW
10 Jun
@ Saudi Arabia
0–0
D
31 May
@ USA
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Gambia
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between France and Senegal.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win France vs Senegal?
On our numbers France have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Senegal 16%.
How many goals will there be in France vs Senegal?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for France vs Senegal?
Our predicted score is France 1–1 Senegal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is France vs Senegal?
France vs Senegal (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 16 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at MetLife Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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