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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Argentina v Algeria: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · Arrowhead Stadium

Argentina

WWWW
3–0
FT

Algeria

WWDW
Argentina 66%Draw 21%Algeria 13% Expected goals 2.14 – 0.84
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultArgentina to win ✓66% · @1.43
Double chanceArgentina or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Argentina vs Algeria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:00 WAT, Wednesday 17 June: Argentina v Algeria in the World Cup, played at Arrowhead Stadium.

Current form

Argentina, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Iceland, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Algeria, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Bolivia, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Argentina, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.5 for Algeria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Argentina 2.1 xG, Algeria 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Argentina 66%, draw 21%, Algeria 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Argentina 2–0 Algeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Argentina66%fair 1.51 · @1.43
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.30
Algeria13%fair 7.86 · @7.80
2.98Expected goals
2.14Argentina xG
0.84Algeria xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Argentina 2.1 – 0.8 Algeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArgentina to win ✓66%1.511.43
Double chanceArgentina or draw ✓87%1.151.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.772.10 ▲
Draw no betArgentina (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapArgentina -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.10
First team to scoreArgentina to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultArgentina ahead at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Argentina / FT Argentina ✓44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

Argentina – last 4

WWWW
10 Junvs Iceland3–0W
7 Junvs Honduras2–0W
1 Aprvs Zambia5–0W
28 Marvs Mauritania2–1W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Algeria – last 4

WWDW
11 Jun@ Bolivia4–0W
3 Jun@ Netherlands1–0W
31 Marvs Uruguay0–0D
27 Marvs Guatemala7–0W
3.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Argentina and Algeria.

Argentina vs Algeria head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

FT Austria3 Jordan1 167%1.34X19%4.90214%9.00 2.1–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Portugal1 Congo DR1 166%1.27X21%5.20213%10.75 1.8–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT England4 Croatia2 167%1.74X21%3.55213%5.00 2.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Argentina vs Algeria?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Argentina vs Algeria?

On our numbers Argentina have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Algeria 13%.

How many goals will there be in Argentina vs Algeria?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Algeria?

Our predicted score is Argentina 2–0 Algeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Argentina vs Algeria?

Argentina vs Algeria (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Arrowhead Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.