Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPortugal to win ✗66% · @1.27
Double chancePortugal or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Portugal vs Congo DR: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Portugal welcome Congo DR to NRG Stadium for a World Cup fixture on Wednesday 17 June (18:00 WAT).
Current form
Portugal, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nigeria, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Congo DR, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chile, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Portugal, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Congo DR.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portugal 1.8 xG, Congo DR 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portugal 66%, draw 21%, Congo DR 13%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portugal 2–0 Congo DR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portugal66%fair 1.51 · @1.27
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @5.20
Congo DR13%fair 7.66 · @10.75
2.61Expected goals
1.82Portugal xG
0.78Congo DR xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Portugal 1.8 – 0.8 Congo DR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portugal to win✗
66%
1.51
1.27
Double chance
Portugal or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Portugal (draw no bet)
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Portugal -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
First team to score
Portugal to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Portugal ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portugal / FT Portugal✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Recent results
Portugal – last 4
WWWD
10 Jun
vs Nigeria
2–1
W
6 Jun
vs Chile
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ USA
2–0
W
29 Mar
@ Mexico
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Congo DR – last 3
LDD
9 Jun
vs Chile
1–2
L
3 Jun
vs Denmark
0–0
D
31 Mar
vs Jamaica
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portugal and Congo DR.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portugal vs Congo DR?
On our numbers Portugal have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Congo DR 13%.
How many goals will there be in Portugal vs Congo DR?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portugal vs Congo DR?
Our predicted score is Portugal 2–0 Congo DR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Portugal vs Congo DR?
Portugal vs Congo DR (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at NRG Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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