Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 57% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEngland to win ✓67% · @1.74
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.82
England vs Croatia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Croatia travel to face England on Wednesday 17 June in the World Cup, with AT&T Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.
Current form
England, last 4: WWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Costa Rica, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Croatia, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Slovenia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give England 2.6 xG, Croatia 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – England 67%, draw 21%, Croatia 13%.
Lower-risk option: England or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.38 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: England 2–0 Croatia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
England67%fair 1.50 · @1.74
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.55
Croatia13%fair 7.84 · @5.00
3.58Expected goals
2.60England xG
0.98Croatia xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–09%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: England 2.6 – 1.0 Croatia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
England to win✓
67%
1.50
1.74 ▲
Double chance
England or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
England (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
England -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.38 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.07
First team to score
England to score first
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
England ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT England / FT England✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
England – last 4
WWLD
10 Jun
vs Costa Rica
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs New Zealand
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Japan
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Uruguay
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Croatia – last 4
WLLW
7 Jun
vs Slovenia
2–1
W
2 Jun
vs Belgium
0–2
L
1 Apr
@ Brazil
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Colombia
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between England and Croatia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win England vs Croatia?
On our numbers England have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Croatia 13%.
How many goals will there be in England vs Croatia?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for England vs Croatia?
Our predicted score is England 2–0 Croatia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is England vs Croatia?
England vs Croatia (World Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at AT&T Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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