Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNorway to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Norway vs Senegal: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Norway welcome Senegal to MetLife Stadium for a World Cup fixture on Tuesday 23 June (01:00 WAT).
Current form
Norway, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Iraq, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Senegal, last 4: LDLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to France, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Norway, collecting 1.6 points per game to 1.0 for Senegal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Norway 1.8 xG, Senegal 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Norway 44%, draw 25%, Senegal 31%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.27, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Norway 1–1 Senegal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Norway44%fair 2.26 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.35
Senegal31%fair 3.25 · @3.20
3.38Expected goals
1.79Norway xG
1.58Senegal xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: Norway 1.8 – 1.6 Senegal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Norway to win✓
44%
2.26
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Norway (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Senegal +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.10
First team to score
Norway to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Norway / FT Norway✓
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Norway – last 5
WDWDL
16 Jun
@ Iraq
4–1
W
7 Jun
@ Morocco
1–1
D
1 Jun
vs Sweden
3–1
W
31 Mar
vs Switzerland
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Netherlands
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Senegal – last 4
LDLW
16 Jun
@ France
1–3
L
10 Jun
@ Saudi Arabia
0–0
D
31 May
@ USA
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Gambia
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Norway and Senegal.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Norway vs Senegal?
On our numbers Norway have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Senegal 31%.
How many goals will there be in Norway vs Senegal?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Norway vs Senegal?
Our predicted score is Norway 1–1 Senegal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Norway vs Senegal?
Norway vs Senegal (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at MetLife Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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