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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Portugal v Uzbekistan: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · NRG Stadium

Portugal

DWWWD
5–0
FT

Uzbekistan

LLLW
Portugal 71%Draw 17%Uzbekistan 12% Expected goals 2.29 – 0.89
60%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultPortugal to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chancePortugal or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Portugal vs Uzbekistan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 23 June the World Cup brings Portugal against Uzbekistan at NRG Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Portugal, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Congo DR, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Uzbekistan, last 4: LLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Colombia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Portugal, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Uzbekistan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portugal 2.3 xG, Uzbekistan 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Portugal 71%, draw 17%, Uzbekistan 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portugal 2–0 Uzbekistan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portugal71%fair 1.41 · @1.18
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @6.40
Uzbekistan12%fair 8.44 · @14.50
3.18Expected goals
2.29Portugal xG
0.89Uzbekistan xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Portugal 2.3 – 0.9 Uzbekistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortugal to win ✓71%1.411.18
Double chancePortugal or draw ✓88%1.131.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.822.25 ▲
Draw no betPortugal (draw no bet) ✓86%1.17–
Asian handicapPortugal -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.631.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.661.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.281.22
First team to scorePortugal to score first ✓69%1.45–
Half-time resultPortugal ahead at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portugal / FT Portugal ✓46%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Portugal – last 5

DWWWD
17 Junvs Congo DR1–1D
10 Junvs Nigeria2–1W
6 Junvs Chile2–1W
1 Apr@ USA2–0W
29 Mar@ Mexico0–0D
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Uzbekistan – last 4

LLLW
18 Junvs Colombia1–3L
8 Jun@ Netherlands1–2L
2 Jun@ Canada0–2L
27 Marvs Gabon3–1W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Portugal and Uzbekistan.

Portugal vs Uzbekistan head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

FT Norway3 Senegal2 144%2.20X25%3.35231%3.20 1.8–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.30 ✓
FT Jordan1 Algeria2 116%6.00X23%4.00261%1.53 1.1–2.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.30 ✓
FT England0 Ghana0 177%1.20X16%6.2027%14.50 2.7–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portugal vs Uzbekistan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Portugal vs Uzbekistan?

On our numbers Portugal have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Uzbekistan 12%.

How many goals will there be in Portugal vs Uzbekistan?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portugal vs Uzbekistan?

Our predicted score is Portugal 2–0 Uzbekistan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Portugal vs Uzbekistan?

Portugal vs Uzbekistan (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at NRG Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.