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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

England v Ghana: numbers & prediction

World Cup · World · Gillette Stadium

England

WWWLD
0–0
FT

Ghana

WDLLL
England 77%Draw 16%Ghana 7% Expected goals 2.66 – 0.76
82%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEngland to win ✗77% · @1.20
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓93% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.36

England vs Ghana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ghana travel to face England on Tuesday 23 June in the World Cup, with Gillette Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.

Current form

England, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Croatia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Ghana, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Panama, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours England, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Ghana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give England 2.7 xG, Ghana 0.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – England 77%, draw 16%, Ghana 7%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.25.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: England 2–0 Ghana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

England77%fair 1.30 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.33 · @6.20
Ghana7%fair 13.45 · @14.50
3.41Expected goals
2.66England xG
0.76Ghana xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
4–07%

From our goals model: England 2.7 – 0.8 Ghana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEngland to win ✗77%1.301.20
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓93%1.081.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.812.25 ▲
Draw no betEngland (draw no bet)91%1.10–
Asian handicapEngland -1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.221.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.691.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.311.20
First team to scoreEngland to score first ✗75%1.33–
Half-time resultEngland ahead at half-time ✗58%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT England / FT England ✗54%1.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.36–

Recent results

England – last 5

WWWLD
17 Junvs Croatia4–2W
10 Junvs Costa Rica3–0W
6 Junvs New Zealand1–0W
31 Marvs Japan0–1L
27 Marvs Uruguay1–1D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Ghana – last 5

WDLLL
18 Junvs Panama1–0W
2 Jun@ Wales1–1D
23 May@ Mexico0–2L
30 Mar@ Germany1–2L
27 Mar@ Austria1–5L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between England and Ghana.

England vs Ghana head-to-head page →

More World Cup predictions

FT Norway3 Senegal2 144%2.20X25%3.35231%3.20 1.8–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.30 ✓
FT Jordan1 Algeria2 116%6.00X23%4.00261%1.53 1.1–2.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.30 ✓
FT Portugal5 Uzbekistan0 171%1.18X17%6.40212%14.50 2.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 60%@1.57 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for England vs Ghana?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win England vs Ghana?

On our numbers England have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Ghana 7%.

How many goals will there be in England vs Ghana?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for England vs Ghana?

Our predicted score is England 2–0 Ghana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is England vs Ghana?

England vs Ghana (World Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.