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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orlando City SC v Philadelphia Union: numbers & prediction

Orlando City SC 33%Draw 23%Philadelphia Union 44% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.86
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗44% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32

Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Orlando City SC welcome Philadelphia Union for a Major League Soccer fixture on Thursday 14 May (00:30 WAT). In the table, Orlando City SC are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50.

Current form

Orlando City SC, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Inter Miami, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Philadelphia Union, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to New England Revolution, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Orlando City SC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Philadelphia Union.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orlando City SC 1.6 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orlando City SC 33%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orlando City SC 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orlando City SC33%fair 3.02 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.60
Philadelphia Union44%fair 2.26 · @2.12
3.41Expected goals
1.56Orlando City SC xG
1.86Philadelphia Union xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%

From our goals model: Orlando City SC 1.6 – 1.9 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗44%2.262.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.60
Draw no betPhiladelphia Union (draw no bet) ✗57%1.75–
Asian handicapOrlando City SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.641.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.281.15
First team to scorePhiladelphia Union to score first ✗53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union ✗28%3.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.32–

Recent results

Orlando City SC – last 6

WWLWLW
3 May@ Inter Miami4–3W
30 Apr@ New England Revolution4–3W
26 Apr@ DC United2–3L
23 Aprvs Charlotte4–1W
19 Aprvs Houston Dynamo0–1L
16 Apr@ Naples1–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Philadelphia Union – last 6

LDLDDL
10 May@ New England Revolution1–2L
3 Mayvs Nashville SC0–0D
26 Apr@ Columbus Crew0–2L
23 Apr@ Toronto FC3–3D
19 Aprvs DC United0–0D
5 Apr@ Charlotte1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Orlando City SC and Philadelphia Union.

Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?

On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Philadelphia Union 44%.

How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?

Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?

Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.