Orlando City SC 33%Draw 23%Philadelphia Union 44%Expected goals 1.56 – 1.86
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✗44% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orlando City SC welcome Philadelphia Union for a Major League Soccer fixture on Thursday 14 May (00:30 WAT). In the table, Orlando City SC are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50.
Current form
Orlando City SC, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Inter Miami, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Philadelphia Union, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to New England Revolution, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Orlando City SC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Philadelphia Union.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orlando City SC 1.6 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.9 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orlando City SC 33%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union 44%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orlando City SC 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orlando City SC33%fair 3.02 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.60
Philadelphia Union44%fair 2.26 · @2.12
3.41Expected goals
1.56Orlando City SC xG
1.86Philadelphia Union xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Orlando City SC 1.6 – 1.9 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✗
44%
2.26
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.60
Draw no bet
Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Orlando City SC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.15
First team to score
Philadelphia Union to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.32
–
Recent results
Orlando City SC – last 6
WWLWLW
3 May
@ Inter Miami
4–3
W
30 Apr
@ New England Revolution
4–3
W
26 Apr
@ DC United
2–3
L
23 Apr
vs Charlotte
4–1
W
19 Apr
vs Houston Dynamo
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Naples
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union – last 6
LDLDDL
10 May
@ New England Revolution
1–2
L
3 May
vs Nashville SC
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Columbus Crew
0–2
L
23 Apr
@ Toronto FC
3–3
D
19 Apr
vs DC United
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Charlotte
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orlando City SC and Philadelphia Union.
What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Philadelphia Union 44%.
How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union?
Orlando City SC vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.