New England Revolution v Nashville SC Prediction & Expected Goals (14 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNashville SC to win ✓44% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.78

New England Revolution vs Nashville SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Thursday 14 May: New England Revolution v Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer, played at Gillette Stadium. In the table, New England Revolution are 3rd, among the top four, on 58 points after 34 matches; Nashville SC are 1st (leading the league) with 77. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

New England Revolution, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Philadelphia Union, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Nashville SC, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with DC United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours New England Revolution, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Nashville SC.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Nashville SC 4–1 New England Revolution.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give New England Revolution 1.1 xG, Nashville SC 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – New England Revolution 31%, draw 25%, Nashville SC 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: New England Revolution 1–1 Nashville SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

New England Revolution31%fair 3.23 · @2.74

Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.45

Nashville SC44%fair 2.29 · @2.40

2.65Expected goals

1.12New England Revolution xG

1.53Nashville SC xG

57%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–111%

1–29%

0–28%

1–08%

0–07%

From our goals model: New England Revolution 1.1 – 1.5 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Nashville SC to win ✓	44%	2.29	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.77	1.65
Draw no bet	Nashville SC (draw no bet) ✓	59%	1.71	–
Asian handicap	New England Revolution +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.98	1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	1.12
First team to score	Nashville SC to score first ✓	54%	1.86	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.36	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC ✓	28%	3.57	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.78	–

New England Revolution – last 6

WWLDWW

10 May	vs Philadelphia Union	2–1	W
3 May	vs Charlotte	1–0	W
30 Apr	vs Orlando City SC	3–4	L
26 Apr	@ Inter Miami	1–1	D
23 Apr	@ Atlanta United FC	2–1	W
19 Apr	vs Columbus Crew	2–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Nashville SC – last 6

DLDLWW

10 May	vs DC United	2–2	D
6 May	@ Tigres UANL	0–1	L
3 May	@ Philadelphia Union	0–0	D
29 Apr	vs Tigres UANL	0–1	L
26 Apr	vs Charlotte	4–2	W
19 Apr	@ Atlanta United FC	2–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New England Revolution vs Nashville SC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win New England Revolution vs Nashville SC?

On our numbers New England Revolution have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nashville SC 44%.

How many goals will there be in New England Revolution vs Nashville SC?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for New England Revolution vs Nashville SC?

Our predicted score is New England Revolution 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is New England Revolution vs Nashville SC?

New England Revolution vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

New England Revolution v Nashville SC: numbers & prediction