Value bet: Chicago Fire to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChicago Fire to win ✓44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.58
DC United vs Chicago Fire: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Thursday 14 May: DC United v Chicago Fire in the Major League Soccer, played at Audi Field. In the table, DC United are 14th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; Chicago Fire are 4th (among the top four) with 55. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
DC United, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Nashville SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Chicago Fire, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to FC Cincinnati, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Chicago Fire, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for DC United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give DC United 1.3 xG, Chicago Fire 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – DC United 32%, draw 24%, Chicago Fire 44%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Chicago Fire to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: DC United 1–1 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
DC United32%fair 3.14 · @2.64
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.45
Chicago Fire44%fair 2.25 · @2.50
2.96Expected goals
1.25DC United xG
1.70Chicago Fire xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: DC United 1.3 – 1.7 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chicago Fire to win✓
44%
2.25
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.62
Draw no bet
Chicago Fire (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
DC United +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.13
First team to score
Chicago Fire to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
DC United – last 6
DWDDLL
10 May
@ Nashville SC
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
3–2
W
23 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
4–4
D
19 Apr
@ Philadelphia Union
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ New England Revolution
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs FC Dallas
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chicago Fire – last 6
LLWDWW
3 May
vs FC Cincinnati
2–3
L
30 Apr
vs St. Louis City
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Sporting Kansas City
5–0
W
19 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati
3–3
D
15 Apr
@ Detroit City
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Atlanta United FC
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between DC United and Chicago Fire.
What is the prediction for DC United vs Chicago Fire?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win DC United vs Chicago Fire?
On our numbers DC United have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chicago Fire 44%.
How many goals will there be in DC United vs Chicago Fire?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for DC United vs Chicago Fire?
Our predicted score is DC United 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is DC United vs Chicago Fire?
DC United vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 14 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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