Nashville SC v New York City FC Prediction & Expected Goals (24 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNashville SC to win ✓58% · @1.73

Double chanceNashville SC or draw ✓83% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.29

Nashville SC vs New York City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Nashville SC v New York City FC in the Major League Soccer, played at Geodis Park. In the table, Nashville SC are 1st, leading the league, on 77 points after 34 matches; New York City FC are 11th (lower half) with 42. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Nashville SC, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Los Angeles FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

New York City FC, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Columbus Crew, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nashville SC 1.8 xG, New York City FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Nashville SC 58%, draw 25%, New York City FC 17%.
Lower-risk option: Nashville SC or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nashville SC 2–0 New York City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nashville SC58%fair 1.74 · @1.73

Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.75

New York City FC17%fair 5.80 · @4.50

2.65Expected goals

1.82Nashville SC xG

0.83New York City FC xG

57%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

2–012%

1–111%

2–110%

3–07%

0–07%

From our goals model: Nashville SC 1.8 – 0.8 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Nashville SC to win ✓	58%	1.74	1.73
Double chance	Nashville SC or draw ✓	83%	1.21	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.74	1.73
Draw no bet	Nashville SC (draw no bet) ✓	77%	1.30	–
Asian handicap	Nashville SC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.96	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	70%	1.42	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	1.13
First team to score	Nashville SC to score first	64%	1.57	–
Half-time result	Nashville SC ahead at half-time ✗	43%	2.31	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC ✗	38%	2.62	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	10%	10.29	–

Nashville SC – last 6

WWDLDL

18 May	vs Los Angeles FC	3–2	W
14 May	@ New England Revolution	3–0	W
10 May	vs DC United	2–2	D
6 May	@ Tigres UANL	0–1	L
3 May	@ Philadelphia Union	0–0	D
29 Apr	vs Tigres UANL	0–1	L

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

New York City FC – last 6

LDWWDL

21 May	@ Columbus Crew	0–1	L
17 May	@ New York Red Bulls	1–1	D
14 May	@ Charlotte	1–0	W
30 Apr	@ New York Red Bulls	3–1	W
23 Apr	vs FC Cincinnati	4–4	D
19 Apr	vs Charlotte	1–2	L

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	23	8	3	+46	77
2	Inter Miami	34	16	12	6	+21	60
3	New England Revolution	34	18	4	12	+8	58
4	Chicago Fire	34	16	7	11	+10	55
5	Charlotte	34	15	9	10	+15	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	14	8	12	+14	50
7	Columbus Crew	34	14	5	15	+7	47
8	Orlando City SC	34	13	7	14	-15	46
9	FC Cincinnati	34	12	10	12	-8	46
10	New York Red Bulls	34	12	6	16	-14	42
11	New York City FC	34	10	12	12	+4	42
12	Toronto FC	34	9	12	13	-15	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	9	6	19	-17	33
14	DC United	34	7	12	15	-22	33
15	CF Montreal	34	6	8	20	-32	26

Team

Pts

Nashville SC

+46

Inter Miami

+21

New England Revolution

+10

+15

+14

-15

-8

-14

-15

-17

-22

-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nashville SC vs New York City FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Nashville SC vs New York City FC?

On our numbers Nashville SC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and New York City FC 17%.

How many goals will there be in Nashville SC vs New York City FC?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nashville SC vs New York City FC?

Our predicted score is Nashville SC 2–0 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Nashville SC vs New York City FC?

Nashville SC vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Geodis Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Nashville SC v New York City FC: numbers & prediction