Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Sunday 24 May: Sporting Kansas City v New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer. In the table, Sporting Kansas City are 15th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 34 matches; New York Red Bulls are 10th (lower half) with 42. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sporting Kansas City, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Austin, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
New York Red Bulls, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with New York City FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Kansas City 1.6 xG, New York Red Bulls 1.9 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Kansas City 33%, draw 22%, New York Red Bulls 45%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Kansas City 1–2 New York Red Bulls. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Kansas City33%fair 3.07 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.95
New York Red Bulls45%fair 2.21 · @2.12
3.49Expected goals
1.58Sporting Kansas City xG
1.91New York Red Bulls xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–36%
From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.6 – 1.9 New York Red Bulls expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York Red Bulls to win✓
45%
2.21
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.35
Draw no bet
New York Red Bulls (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Sporting Kansas City +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
First team to score
New York Red Bulls to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
New York Red Bulls ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls✓
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Sporting Kansas City – last 6
WWLLLL
17 May
@ Austin
2–1
W
14 May
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
3–1
W
10 May
@ Portland Timbers
0–6
L
26 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–5
L
18 Apr
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Springs
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
New York Red Bulls – last 6
DWLLLD
17 May
vs New York City FC
1–1
D
14 May
vs Columbus Crew
3–2
W
3 May
vs FC Dallas
0–2
L
30 Apr
vs New York City FC
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs DC United
4–4
D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Kansas City and New York Red Bulls.
What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?
On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and New York Red Bulls 45%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?
Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 1–2 New York Red Bulls, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls?
Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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