Chicago Fire 62%Draw 20%Toronto FC 19%Expected goals 2.30 – 1.27
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultChicago Fire to win ✓62% · @1.47
Double chanceChicago Fire or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.58
Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 24 May the Major League Soccer brings Chicago Fire against Toronto FC at Soldier Field. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Chicago Fire are 4th, among the top four, on 55 points after 34 matches; Toronto FC are 12th (lower half) with 39. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Chicago Fire, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over DC United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Toronto FC, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Charlotte, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chicago Fire, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Toronto FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chicago Fire 2.3 xG, Toronto FC 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chicago Fire 62%, draw 20%, Toronto FC 19%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chicago Fire 2–1 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chicago Fire62%fair 1.62 · @1.47
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @4.75
Toronto FC19%fair 5.39 · @5.60
3.57Expected goals
2.30Chicago Fire xG
1.27Toronto FC xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Chicago Fire 2.3 – 1.3 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chicago Fire to win✓
62%
1.62
1.47
Double chance
Chicago Fire or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Chicago Fire (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Chicago Fire -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
First team to score
Chicago Fire to score first
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Chicago Fire ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Chicago Fire – last 6
WLLWDW
14 May
@ DC United
3–1
W
3 May
vs FC Cincinnati
2–3
L
30 Apr
vs St. Louis City
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Sporting Kansas City
5–0
W
19 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati
3–3
D
15 Apr
@ Detroit City
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Toronto FC – last 6
LLDWLL
17 May
@ Charlotte
1–3
L
6 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
1–3
L
23 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
3–3
D
9 Mar
@ FC Cincinnati
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ FC Dallas
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chicago Fire and Toronto FC.
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC?
On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Toronto FC 19%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC?
Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 2–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC?
Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Vancouver Whitecaps4
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FC Dallas2
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