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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orlando City SC v Nashville SC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Exploria Stadium
1–0
FT
Orlando City SC 27%Draw 22%Nashville SC 50% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.95
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2

Value bet: Nashville SC to win @ 2.12 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNashville SC to win ✗50% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.40

Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Sunday 26 July: Orlando City SC v Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer, played at Exploria Stadium. In the table, Orlando City SC are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 34 matches; Nashville SC are 1st (leading the league) with 77. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Orlando City SC, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over San Jose Earthquakes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately.

Nashville SC, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CF Montreal, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Nashville SC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Orlando City SC.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Nashville SC 5–0 Orlando City SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orlando City SC 1.3 xG, Nashville SC 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orlando City SC 27%, draw 22%, Nashville SC 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.48.
  • Price worth noting: Nashville SC to win @2.12 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orlando City SC 1–1 Nashville SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orlando City SC27%fair 3.66 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.80
Nashville SC50%fair 1.99 · @2.12
3.24Expected goals
1.29Orlando City SC xG
1.95Nashville SC xG
66%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–16%
1–36%

From our goals model: Orlando City SC 1.3 – 2.0 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNashville SC to win ✗50%1.992.12 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗66%1.511.48
Draw no betNashville SC (draw no bet) ✗65%1.54–
Asian handicapOrlando City SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82%1.221.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.631.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.661.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
First team to scoreNashville SC to score first ✗58%1.73–
Half-time resultNashville SC ahead at half-time ✗40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC ✗33%3.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.40–

Recent results

Orlando City SC – last 6

WLWDWW
23 Jul@ San Jose Earthquakes4–0W
24 May@ FC Cincinnati2–6L
20 Mayvs Atlanta United FC4–1W
17 Mayvs Atlanta United FC1–1D
14 Mayvs Philadelphia Union4–3W
3 May@ Inter Miami4–3W
3.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Nashville SC – last 6

WWWWWD
23 Julvs CF Montreal1–0W
18 Julvs Atlanta United FC1–0W
24 Mayvs New York City FC2–1W
18 Mayvs Los Angeles FC3–2W
14 May@ New England Revolution3–0W
10 Mayvs DC United2–2D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026Nashville SC v Orlando City SC5–0
Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC?

On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nashville SC 50%.

How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC?

Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC?

Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Exploria Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.