New York City FC 41%Draw 24%Chicago Fire 35%Expected goals 1.57 – 1.45
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNew York City FC to win ✓41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
New York City FC vs Chicago Fire: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
New York City FC welcome Chicago Fire to Yankee Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 26 July (00:30 WAT). In the table, New York City FC are 11th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Chicago Fire are 4th (among the top four) with 55. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
New York City FC, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Columbus Crew, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Chicago Fire, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Inter Miami, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York City FC 1.6 xG, Chicago Fire 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York City FC 41%, draw 24%, Chicago Fire 35%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York City FC 1–1 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York City FC41%fair 2.45 · @2.40
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.65
Chicago Fire35%fair 2.84 · @2.64
3.02Expected goals
1.57New York City FC xG
1.45Chicago Fire xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: New York City FC 1.6 – 1.5 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York City FC to win✓
41%
2.45
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Draw no bet
New York City FC (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Chicago Fire +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
First team to score
New York City FC to score first
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York City FC / FT New York City FC✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Recent results
New York City FC – last 6
WLLDWW
23 Jul
@ Columbus Crew
2–1
W
24 May
@ Nashville SC
1–2
L
21 May
@ Columbus Crew
0–1
L
17 May
@ New York Red Bulls
1–1
D
14 May
@ Charlotte
1–0
W
30 Apr
@ New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chicago Fire – last 6
LWWLLW
23 Jul
@ Inter Miami
2–3
L
24 May
vs Toronto FC
2–1
W
14 May
@ DC United
3–1
W
3 May
vs FC Cincinnati
2–3
L
30 Apr
vs St. Louis City
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Sporting Kansas City
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York City FC and Chicago Fire.
What is the prediction for New York City FC vs Chicago Fire?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win New York City FC vs Chicago Fire?
On our numbers New York City FC have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chicago Fire 35%.
How many goals will there be in New York City FC vs Chicago Fire?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York City FC vs Chicago Fire?
Our predicted score is New York City FC 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is New York City FC vs Chicago Fire?
New York City FC vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Yankee Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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