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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

DC United v Toronto FC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Audi Field
2–1
FT
DC United 42%Draw 24%Toronto FC 34% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.48
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Toronto FC to win @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDC United to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 11.86

DC United vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Toronto FC travel to face DC United on Sunday 26 July in the Major League Soccer, with Audi Field the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, DC United are 14th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; Toronto FC are 12th (lower half) with 39.

Current form

DC United, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Houston Dynamo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Toronto FC, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with New England Revolution, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours DC United, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Toronto FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give DC United 1.5 xG, Toronto FC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – DC United 42%, draw 24%, Toronto FC 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Toronto FC to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: DC United 1–1 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

DC United42%fair 2.40 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.55
Toronto FC34%fair 2.92 · @3.45
2.96Expected goals
1.49DC United xG
1.48Toronto FC xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%

From our goals model: DC United 1.5 – 1.5 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDC United to win ✓42%2.402.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.70 ▲
Draw no betDC United (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapToronto FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.481.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.12
First team to scoreDC United to score first ✓48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT DC United / FT DC United ✓22%4.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%11.86–

Recent results

DC United – last 6

DDDLDW
23 Jul@ Houston Dynamo1–1D
24 Mayvs CF Montreal4–4D
17 Mayvs St. Louis City1–1D
14 Mayvs Chicago Fire1–3L
10 May@ Nashville SC2–2D
26 Aprvs Orlando City SC3–2W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Toronto FC – last 6

DDLLLD
23 Jul@ New England Revolution0–0D
17 Jul@ CF Montreal0–0D
24 May@ Chicago Fire1–2L
17 May@ Charlotte1–3L
6 Mayvs Atlético Ottawa1–3L
23 Aprvs Philadelphia Union3–3D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between DC United and Toronto FC.

DC United vs Toronto FC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for DC United vs Toronto FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win DC United vs Toronto FC?

On our numbers DC United have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Toronto FC 34%.

How many goals will there be in DC United vs Toronto FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for DC United vs Toronto FC?

Our predicted score is DC United 1–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is DC United vs Toronto FC?

DC United vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Audi Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.