Philadelphia Union 61%Draw 21%Atlanta United FC 18%Expected goals 2.14 – 1.02
82%
Betarazi pick
Philadelphia Union or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlanta United FC travel to face Philadelphia Union on Sunday 2 August in the Major League Soccer, with Subaru Park the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Philadelphia Union are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; Atlanta United FC are 13th (in the drop zone) with 33. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Philadelphia Union, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Seattle Sounders, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Atlanta United FC, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to New England Revolution, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 6. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Philadelphia Union, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Atlanta United FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Philadelphia Union 2.1 xG, Atlanta United FC 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Philadelphia Union 61%, draw 21%, Atlanta United FC 18%.
Lower-risk option: Philadelphia Union or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Philadelphia Union or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philadelphia Union 2–1 Atlanta United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Philadelphia Union61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.10
Atlanta United FC18%fair 5.61 · @4.45
3.17Expected goals
2.14Philadelphia Union xG
1.02Atlanta United FC xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.1 – 1.0 Atlanta United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Double chance
Philadelphia Union or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Draw no bet
Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Philadelphia Union -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
1.20
First team to score
Philadelphia Union to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Philadelphia Union – last 6
WWLDLL
26 Jul
vs Seattle Sounders
1–0
W
23 Jul
vs New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
25 May
@ Inter Miami
4–6
L
17 May
vs Columbus Crew
1–1
D
14 May
@ Orlando City SC
3–4
L
10 May
@ New England Revolution
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atlanta United FC – last 6
LDLLLD
26 Jul
@ New England Revolution
1–4
L
23 Jul
@ Charlotte
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ Nashville SC
0–1
L
24 May
@ Columbus Crew
0–2
L
20 May
@ Orlando City SC
1–4
L
17 May
@ Orlando City SC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United FC.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlanta United FC 18%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–1 Atlanta United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC?
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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