FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Jose Earthquakes travel to face FC Cincinnati on Sunday 2 August in the Major League Soccer, with TQL Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, FC Cincinnati are 9th, lower half, on 46 points after 34 matches; San Jose Earthquakes are 4th (among the top four) with 52.
Current form
FC Cincinnati, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Columbus Crew, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Los Angeles Galaxy, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC Cincinnati, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for San Jose Earthquakes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Cincinnati 2.3 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 1.6 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cincinnati 53%, draw 22%, San Jose Earthquakes 26%.
GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.28.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cincinnati 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Cincinnati53%fair 1.89 · @1.94
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.95
San Jose Earthquakes26%fair 3.89 · @3.30
3.88Expected goals
2.27FC Cincinnati xG
1.61San Jose Earthquakes xG
71%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–16%
1–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 2.3 – 1.6 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Cincinnati to win✓
53%
1.89
1.94
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Draw no bet
FC Cincinnati (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.49
–
Asian handicap
San Jose Earthquakes +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.48
First team to score
FC Cincinnati to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
FC Cincinnati ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Cincinnati / FT FC Cincinnati✗
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
FC Cincinnati – last 6
LWWWDL
26 Jul
@ Columbus Crew
1–2
L
23 Jul
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
4–3
W
11 Jul
vs Burnley
3–1
W
24 May
vs Orlando City SC
6–2
W
17 May
@ San Diego
3–3
D
14 May
vs Inter Miami
3–5
L
3.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
San Jose Earthquakes – last 6
DLLWLL
26 Jul
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
1–1
D
23 Jul
vs Orlando City SC
0–4
L
4 Jul
vs Club Tijuana
1–2
L
24 May
@ Portland Timbers
3–1
W
21 May
@ Colorado Rapids
0–2
L
17 May
vs FC Dallas
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes.
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?
On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Jose Earthquakes 26%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?
FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at TQL Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.