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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · TQL Stadium
FC Cincinnati 53%Draw 22%San Jose Earthquakes 26% Expected goals 2.27 – 1.61
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Cincinnati to win ✓53% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

San Jose Earthquakes travel to face FC Cincinnati on Sunday 2 August in the Major League Soccer, with TQL Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, FC Cincinnati are 9th, lower half, on 46 points after 34 matches; San Jose Earthquakes are 4th (among the top four) with 52.

Current form

FC Cincinnati, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Columbus Crew, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 3.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Los Angeles Galaxy, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Cincinnati, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for San Jose Earthquakes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Cincinnati 2.3 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 1.6 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cincinnati 53%, draw 22%, San Jose Earthquakes 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (71%) at 1.28.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cincinnati 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Cincinnati53%fair 1.89 · @1.94
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.95
San Jose Earthquakes26%fair 3.89 · @3.30
3.88Expected goals
2.27FC Cincinnati xG
1.61San Jose Earthquakes xG
71%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–16%
1–26%
2–05%

From our goals model: FC Cincinnati 2.3 – 1.6 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Cincinnati to win ✓53%1.891.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓71%1.401.28
Draw no betFC Cincinnati (draw no bet) ✓67%1.49–
Asian handicapSan Jose Earthquakes +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.121.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓55%1.831.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗64%1.551.48
First team to scoreFC Cincinnati to score first57%1.75–
Half-time resultFC Cincinnati ahead at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Cincinnati / FT FC Cincinnati ✗34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.67–

Recent results

FC Cincinnati – last 6

LWWWDL
26 Jul@ Columbus Crew1–2L
23 Julvs Vancouver Whitecaps4–3W
11 Julvs Burnley3–1W
24 Mayvs Orlando City SC6–2W
17 May@ San Diego3–3D
14 Mayvs Inter Miami3–5L
3.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes – last 6

DLLWLL
26 Julvs Los Angeles Galaxy1–1D
23 Julvs Orlando City SC0–4L
4 Julvs Club Tijuana1–2L
24 May@ Portland Timbers3–1W
21 May@ Colorado Rapids0–2L
17 Mayvs FC Dallas2–3L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes.

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?

On our numbers FC Cincinnati have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Jose Earthquakes 26%.

How many goals will there be in FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our predicted score is FC Cincinnati 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes?

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at TQL Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.