Sporting Kansas City v Houston Dynamo Prediction & Expected Goals (2 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✓46% · @2.14

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.61

Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sporting Kansas City welcome Houston Dynamo to Children's Mercy Park for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 2 August (01:30 WAT). In the table, Sporting Kansas City are 15th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 34 matches; Houston Dynamo are 5th (upper half) with 51. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sporting Kansas City, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Los Angeles FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Houston Dynamo, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Austin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Houston Dynamo, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Sporting Kansas City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Kansas City 1.3 xG, Houston Dynamo 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Kansas City 30%, draw 25%, Houston Dynamo 46%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Houston Dynamo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Kansas City30%fair 3.38 · @3.10

Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.55

Houston Dynamo46%fair 2.18 · @2.14

2.96Expected goals

1.26Sporting Kansas City xG

1.69Houston Dynamo xG

61%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

0–19%

0–27%

2–17%

1–07%

From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 1.3 – 1.7 Houston Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Houston Dynamo to win ✓	46%	2.18	2.14
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	61%	1.64	1.53
Draw no bet	Houston Dynamo (draw no bet) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Asian handicap	Sporting Kansas City +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	67%	1.48	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.74	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	64%	1.55	1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	1.20
First team to score	Houston Dynamo to score first ✓	54%	1.84	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.52	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo ✗	29%	3.47	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.61	–

Sporting Kansas City – last 6

LWLLWW

26 Jul	@ Los Angeles FC	0–4	L
23 Jul	vs Minnesota United FC	2–1	W
17 Jul	@ St. Louis City	2–3	L
24 May	vs New York Red Bulls	1–2	L
17 May	@ Austin	2–1	W
14 May	vs Los Angeles Galaxy	3–1	W

1.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Houston Dynamo – last 6

WDWWDW

26 Jul	vs Austin	3–0	W
23 Jul	vs DC United	1–1	D
16 Jul	vs America de Cali	2–1	W
12 Jul	vs CD Olimpia	3–0	W
24 May	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1–1	D
17 May	vs Vancouver Whitecaps	1–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?

On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Houston Dynamo 46%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?

Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Houston Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo?

Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Children's Mercy Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sporting Kansas City v Houston Dynamo: numbers & prediction