New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Major League Soccer brings New York Red Bulls against Philadelphia Union at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, New York Red Bulls are 10th, lower half, on 42 points after 34 matches; Philadelphia Union are 6th (upper half) with 50.
Current form
New York Red Bulls, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chicago Fire, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Philadelphia Union, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Austin, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Philadelphia Union, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for New York Red Bulls.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Jul 2026) it ended Philadelphia Union 3–1 New York Red Bulls.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New York Red Bulls 1.5 xG, Philadelphia Union 1.9 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New York Red Bulls 31%, draw 19%, Philadelphia Union 49%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New York Red Bulls31%fair 3.18 · @2.92
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @3.95
Philadelphia Union49%fair 2.04 · @2.12
3.44Expected goals
1.51New York Red Bulls xG
1.93Philadelphia Union xG
69%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.5 – 1.9 Philadelphia Union expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Philadelphia Union 49%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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