Toronto FC 38%Draw 21%New York City FC 41%Expected goals 1.52 – 1.57
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: New York City FC to win @ 2.64 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNew York City FC to win ✗41% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.73
Toronto FC vs New York City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Toronto FC v New York City FC in the Major League Soccer, played at BMO Field. In the table, Toronto FC are 12th, lower half, on 39 points after 34 matches; New York City FC are 11th (lower half) with 42. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Toronto FC, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Inter Miami, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
New York City FC, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with New England Revolution, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Toronto FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for New York City FC.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended New York City FC 1–1 Toronto FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toronto FC 1.5 xG, New York City FC 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toronto FC 38%, draw 21%, New York City FC 41%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: New York City FC to win @2.64 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toronto FC 1–1 New York City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toronto FC38%fair 2.60 · @2.40
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.65
New York City FC41%fair 2.46 · @2.64
3.10Expected goals
1.52Toronto FC xG
1.57New York City FC xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.5 – 1.6 New York City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs New York City FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Toronto FC vs New York City FC?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and New York City FC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs New York City FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs New York City FC?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 New York City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs New York City FC?
Toronto FC vs New York City FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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