Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Expected Goals (30 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✗67% · @1.57

Double chanceHouston Dynamo or draw ✓87% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer, played at Shell Energy Stadium. In the table, Houston Dynamo are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 34 matches; San Jose Earthquakes are 4th (among the top four) with 52. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Houston Dynamo, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to St. Louis City, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Minnesota United FC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Houston Dynamo, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for San Jose Earthquakes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Houston Dynamo 2.2 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Houston Dynamo 67%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 13%.
Lower-risk option: Houston Dynamo or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Houston Dynamo to win (67%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.49, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston Dynamo 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Houston Dynamo67%fair 1.49 · @1.57

Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.20

San Jose Earthquakes13%fair 7.95 · @4.75

3.05Expected goals

2.19Houston Dynamo xG

0.86San Jose Earthquakes xG

59%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%

1–010%

2–110%

1–19%

3–08%

3–17%

From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 2.2 – 0.9 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Houston Dynamo to win ✗	67%	1.49	1.57 ▲
Double chance	Houston Dynamo or draw ✓	87%	1.14	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.69	1.55
Draw no bet	Houston Dynamo (draw no bet)	84%	1.19	–
Asian handicap	Houston Dynamo -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	81%	1.24	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	–
First team to score	Houston Dynamo to score first ✗	69%	1.46	–
Half-time result	Houston Dynamo ahead at half-time ✗	49%	2.03	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo ✗	45%	2.25	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.25	–

Houston Dynamo – last 6

LWWWWW

23 Aug	@ St. Louis City	1–2	L
20 Aug	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	1–0	W
16 Aug	vs Los Angeles Galaxy	1–0	W
8 Aug	@ New England Revolution	2–0	W
2 Aug	@ Sporting Kansas City	2–0	W
26 Jul	vs Austin	3–0	W

1.7Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes – last 6

LLLLDL

23 Aug	vs Minnesota United FC	1–5	L
20 Aug	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	0–1	L
16 Aug	vs St. Louis City	1–3	L
2 Aug	@ FC Cincinnati	2–4	L
26 Jul	vs Los Angeles Galaxy	1–1	D
23 Jul	vs Orlando City SC	0–4	L

0.8Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	34	19	7	8	+40	64
2	FC Dallas	34	16	10	8	+11	58
3	St. Louis City	34	15	9	10	+11	54
4	San Jose Earthquakes	34	14	10	10	+6	52
5	Houston Dynamo	34	14	9	11	0	51
6	Los Angeles FC	34	12	11	11	+12	47
7	Portland Timbers	34	13	7	14	+1	46
8	Seattle Sounders	34	12	10	12	-2	46
9	Real Salt Lake	34	13	6	15	+1	45
10	Minnesota United FC	34	11	11	12	-2	44
11	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	11	11	12	-7	44
12	Colorado Rapids	34	12	7	15	-3	43
13	San Diego	34	9	11	14	-6	38
14	Austin	34	8	10	16	-23	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	34	7	5	22	-41	26

Team

Pts

+40

+11

+11

+12

-2

-2

-7

-3

-6

-23

-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our pick is Houston Dynamo to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and San Jose Earthquakes 13%.

How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes: numbers & prediction