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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Philadelphia Union v CF Montreal: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Subaru Park
2–0
FT
Philadelphia Union 70%Draw 17%CF Montreal 13% Expected goals 2.42 – 0.95
70%
Betarazi pick

Philadelphia Union to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓70% · @1.45
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45

Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Philadelphia Union v CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer, played at Subaru Park. In the table, Philadelphia Union are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; CF Montreal are 15th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Philadelphia Union, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over New York Red Bulls, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

CF Montreal, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vancouver Whitecaps, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Philadelphia Union, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for CF Montreal.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Philadelphia Union 2.4 xG, CF Montreal 1.0 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Philadelphia Union 70%, draw 17%, CF Montreal 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Philadelphia Union to win (70%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philadelphia Union 2–0 CF Montreal. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Philadelphia Union70%fair 1.43 · @1.45
Draw17%fair 5.93 · @5.00
CF Montreal13%fair 7.56 · @6.50
3.37Expected goals
2.42Philadelphia Union xG
0.95CF Montreal xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%

From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.4 – 1.0 CF Montreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓70%1.431.45
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.591.62
Draw no betPhiladelphia Union (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapPhiladelphia Union -1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.181.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.531.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.781.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
First team to scorePhiladelphia Union to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultPhiladelphia Union ahead at half-time ✗52%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union ✗47%2.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.45–

Recent results

Philadelphia Union – last 6

WDDWLW
30 Aug@ New York Red Bulls3–1W
23 Aug@ Austin1–1D
20 Augvs Inter Miami2–2D
16 Aug@ New York City FC3–2W
14 Augvs Santos Laguna0–2L
10 Augvs Necaxa3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

CF Montreal – last 6

DLDWDD
3 Sep@ Vancouver Whitecaps1–1D
30 Aug@ Inter Miami1–7L
23 Augvs Los Angeles Galaxy2–2D
20 Aug@ Columbus Crew2–1W
16 Augvs DC United1–1D
2 Augvs New England Revolution2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Philadelphia Union and CF Montreal.

Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?

Our pick is Philadelphia Union to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?

On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and CF Montreal 13%.

How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?

Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–0 CF Montreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?

Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.