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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Austin v San Jose Earthquakes: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Q2 Stadium

Austin

WLDWL
1–1
FT
Austin 46%Draw 20%San Jose Earthquakes 34% Expected goals 1.74 – 1.46
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultAustin to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09

Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Austin v San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer, played at Q2 Stadium. In the table, Austin are 14th, in the drop zone, on 34 points after 34 matches; San Jose Earthquakes are 4th (among the top four) with 52. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Austin, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Portland Timbers, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

San Jose Earthquakes, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Houston Dynamo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Austin, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for San Jose Earthquakes.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended San Jose Earthquakes 5–1 Austin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Austin 1.7 xG, San Jose Earthquakes 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Austin 46%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Austin 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Austin46%fair 2.17 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @3.75
San Jose Earthquakes34%fair 2.94 · @2.80
3.20Expected goals
1.74Austin xG
1.46San Jose Earthquakes xG
63%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Austin 1.7 – 1.5 San Jose Earthquakes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAustin to win ✗46%2.172.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.601.44
Draw no betAustin (draw no bet)58%1.74–
Asian handicapSan Jose Earthquakes +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreAustin to score first ✗52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.63–
Half-time / full-timeHT Austin / FT Austin ✗27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.09–

Recent results

Austin – last 6

WLDWLD
30 Aug@ Portland Timbers2–1W
27 Aug@ Toluca0–2L
23 Augvs Philadelphia Union1–1D
20 Aug@ Seattle Sounders2–1W
17 Augvs FC Dallas1–2L
14 Aug@ Club America1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes – last 6

DLLLLD
30 Aug@ Houston Dynamo0–0D
23 Augvs Minnesota United FC1–5L
20 Aug@ Los Angeles Galaxy0–1L
16 Augvs St. Louis City1–3L
2 Aug@ FC Cincinnati2–4L
26 Julvs Los Angeles Galaxy1–1D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Apr 2026San Jose Earthquakes v Austin5–1
Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes?

On our numbers Austin have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and San Jose Earthquakes 34%.

How many goals will there be in Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Our predicted score is Austin 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Q2 Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.