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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Toronto FC v Chicago Fire: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · BMO Field
4–4
FT
Toronto FC 32%Draw 21%Chicago Fire 46% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.76
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultChicago Fire to win ✗46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Toronto FC welcome Chicago Fire to BMO Field for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 6 September (00:30 WAT). In the table, Toronto FC are 12th, lower half, on 39 points after 34 matches; Chicago Fire are 4th (among the top four) with 55. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Toronto FC, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with New York City FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Chicago Fire, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Seattle Sounders, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Chicago Fire 2–1 Toronto FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Toronto FC 1.4 xG, Chicago Fire 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Toronto FC 32%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toronto FC 1–1 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Toronto FC32%fair 3.09 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Chicago Fire46%fair 2.17 · @2.20
3.19Expected goals
1.43Toronto FC xG
1.76Chicago Fire xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%

From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.4 – 1.8 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChicago Fire to win ✗46%2.172.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.44
Draw no betChicago Fire (draw no bet)59%1.70–
Asian handicapToronto FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
First team to scoreChicago Fire to score first53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire ✗28%3.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.98–

Recent results

Toronto FC – last 6

DWDWDL
30 Augvs New York City FC1–1D
23 Aug@ Inter Miami2–1W
20 Augvs Charlotte3–3D
16 Augvs New England Revolution2–1W
1 Aug@ New York City FC1–1D
26 Jul@ DC United1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chicago Fire – last 6

DLDWWW
29 Aug@ Seattle Sounders2–2D
26 Aug@ Monterrey1–2L
23 Aug@ New York Red Bulls1–1D
20 Aug@ Orlando City SC2–1W
16 Augvs Portland Timbers2–1W
14 Aug@ Cruz Azul2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Chicago Fire v Toronto FC2–1
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?

On our numbers Toronto FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chicago Fire 46%.

How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?

Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?

Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.