Toronto FC 32%Draw 21%Chicago Fire 46%Expected goals 1.43 – 1.76
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultChicago Fire to win ✗46% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.98
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Toronto FC welcome Chicago Fire to BMO Field for a Major League Soccer fixture on Sunday 6 September (00:30 WAT). In the table, Toronto FC are 12th, lower half, on 39 points after 34 matches; Chicago Fire are 4th (among the top four) with 55. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Toronto FC, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with New York City FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Chicago Fire, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Seattle Sounders, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Chicago Fire 2–1 Toronto FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toronto FC 1.4 xG, Chicago Fire 1.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toronto FC 32%, draw 21%, Chicago Fire 46%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toronto FC 1–1 Chicago Fire. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toronto FC32%fair 3.09 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.40
Chicago Fire46%fair 2.17 · @2.20
3.19Expected goals
1.43Toronto FC xG
1.76Chicago Fire xG
67%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
0–17%
2–27%
0–26%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.4 – 1.8 Chicago Fire expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chicago Fire 46%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 Chicago Fire, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire?
Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.