Philadelphia Union 59%Draw 21%FC Cincinnati 20%Expected goals 2.38 – 1.37
80%
Betarazi pick
Philadelphia Union or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultPhiladelphia Union to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chancePhiladelphia Union or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 10 September the Major League Soccer brings Philadelphia Union against FC Cincinnati at Subaru Park. Kick-off: 00:45 WAT. In the table, Philadelphia Union are 6th, upper half, on 50 points after 34 matches; FC Cincinnati are 9th (lower half) with 46.
Current form
Philadelphia Union, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over CF Montreal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
FC Cincinnati, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Nashville SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Philadelphia Union, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for FC Cincinnati.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Philadelphia Union 2.4 xG, FC Cincinnati 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Philadelphia Union 59%, draw 21%, FC Cincinnati 20%.
Lower-risk option: Philadelphia Union or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Philadelphia Union or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Philadelphia Union 2–1 FC Cincinnati. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Philadelphia Union59%fair 1.69 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.30
FC Cincinnati20%fair 4.96 · @3.90
3.74Expected goals
2.38Philadelphia Union xG
1.37FC Cincinnati xG
69%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Philadelphia Union 2.4 – 1.4 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Philadelphia Union to win✓
59%
1.69
1.73
Double chance
Philadelphia Union or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Draw no bet
Philadelphia Union (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
FC Cincinnati +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.38
First team to score
Philadelphia Union to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Philadelphia Union ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Philadelphia Union / FT Philadelphia Union✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Philadelphia Union – last 6
WWDDWL
6 Sep
vs CF Montreal
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ New York Red Bulls
3–1
W
23 Aug
@ Austin
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs Inter Miami
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ New York City FC
3–2
W
14 Aug
vs Santos Laguna
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Cincinnati – last 6
LDWDLW
30 Aug
@ Nashville SC
0–4
L
23 Aug
vs Seattle Sounders
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs New York City FC
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Orlando City SC
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Atlas
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati.
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
Our pick is Philadelphia Union or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
On our numbers Philadelphia Union have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Cincinnati 20%.
How many goals will there be in Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
Our predicted score is Philadelphia Union 2–1 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 00:45 (West Africa Time) at Subaru Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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