Toronto FC 30%Draw 21%Nashville SC 49%Expected goals 1.30 – 1.74
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Nashville SC to win @ 2.22 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNashville SC to win ✗49% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 10 September the Major League Soccer brings Toronto FC against Nashville SC at BMO Field. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Toronto FC are 12th, lower half, on 39 points after 34 matches; Nashville SC are 1st (leading the league) with 77. There are 38 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Toronto FC, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Chicago Fire, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Nashville SC, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with New York City FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toronto FC 1.3 xG, Nashville SC 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toronto FC 30%, draw 21%, Nashville SC 49%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Nashville SC to win @2.22 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toronto FC 1–1 Nashville SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toronto FC30%fair 3.32 · @2.86
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.70
Nashville SC49%fair 2.03 · @2.22
3.03Expected goals
1.30Toronto FC xG
1.74Nashville SC xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Toronto FC 1.3 – 1.7 Nashville SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nashville SC to win✗
49%
2.03
2.22 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Draw no bet
Nashville SC (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Toronto FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
Nashville SC to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nashville SC / FT Nashville SC✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Toronto FC – last 6
DDWDWD
6 Sep
vs Chicago Fire
4–4
D
30 Aug
vs New York City FC
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Inter Miami
2–1
W
20 Aug
vs Charlotte
3–3
D
16 Aug
vs New England Revolution
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ New York City FC
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nashville SC – last 6
DWWWWL
5 Sep
@ New York City FC
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs FC Cincinnati
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs Columbus Crew
3–2
W
20 Aug
@ New York Red Bulls
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Inter Miami
4–1
W
13 Aug
@ Monterrey
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toronto FC and Nashville SC.
What is the prediction for Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
On our numbers Toronto FC have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nashville SC 49%.
How many goals will there be in Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Our predicted score is Toronto FC 1–1 Nashville SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Toronto FC vs Nashville SC?
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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