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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlanta United FC v Orlando City SC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta United FC 45%Draw 19%Orlando City SC 35% Expected goals 1.80 – 1.57
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.42Odds
2

Value bet: Orlando City SC to win @ 3.15 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAtlanta United FC to win ✗45% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43

Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:30 WAT, Thursday 10 September: Atlanta United FC v Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer, played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. In the table, Atlanta United FC are 13th, in the drop zone, on 33 points after 34 matches; Orlando City SC are 8th (upper half) with 46. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atlanta United FC, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Inter Miami, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Orlando City SC, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over San Diego, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Orlando City SC 4–1 Atlanta United FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atlanta United FC 0 wins, Orlando City SC 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlanta United FC 1.8 xG, Orlando City SC 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlanta United FC 45%, draw 19%, Orlando City SC 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.42.
  • Price worth noting: Orlando City SC to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlanta United FC 1–1 Orlando City SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlanta United FC45%fair 2.22 · @2.02
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @3.95
Orlando City SC35%fair 2.82 · @3.15
3.38Expected goals
1.80Atlanta United FC xG
1.57Orlando City SC xG
68%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%

From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.8 – 1.6 Orlando City SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlanta United FC to win ✗45%2.222.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.461.42
Draw no betAtlanta United FC (draw no bet) ✗56%1.78–
Asian handicapOrlando City SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.761.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.341.25
First team to scoreAtlanta United FC to score first52%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓37%2.71–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlanta United FC / FT Atlanta United FC ✗26%3.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.43–

Recent results

Atlanta United FC – last 6

DLWWWL
6 Sep@ Inter Miami2–2D
30 Augvs Charlotte0–2L
24 Augvs Sporting Kansas City2–1W
20 Aug@ Minnesota United FC2–1W
16 Augvs New York Red Bulls2–1W
2 Aug@ Philadelphia Union2–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Orlando City SC – last 6

WDWLDD
6 Sepvs San Diego1–0W
30 Aug@ Minnesota United FC3–3D
23 Augvs Real Salt Lake2–1W
20 Augvs Chicago Fire1–2L
16 Augvs FC Cincinnati1–1D
13 Augvs Atletico San Luis2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 May 2026Orlando City SC v Atlanta United FC4–1
17 May 2026Orlando City SC v Atlanta United FC1–1
Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC?

On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Orlando City SC 35%.

How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC?

Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 Orlando City SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC?

Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.