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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orlando City SC v Toronto FC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Exploria Stadium
3–0
FT
Orlando City SC 60%Draw 18%Toronto FC 22% Expected goals 2.35 – 1.36
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
1

Value bet: Orlando City SC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultOrlando City SC to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Toronto FC travel to face Orlando City SC on Sunday 13 September in the Major League Soccer, with Exploria Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, Orlando City SC are 8th, upper half, on 46 points after 34 matches; Toronto FC are 12th (lower half) with 39.

Current form

Orlando City SC, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Atlanta United FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Toronto FC, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nashville SC, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orlando City SC 2.3 xG, Toronto FC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orlando City SC 60%, draw 18%, Toronto FC 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Orlando City SC to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orlando City SC 2–1 Toronto FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orlando City SC60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @3.80
Toronto FC22%fair 4.55 · @3.40
3.71Expected goals
2.35Orlando City SC xG
1.36Toronto FC xG
68%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%

From our goals model: Orlando City SC 2.3 – 1.4 Toronto FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOrlando City SC to win ✓60%1.661.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.481.40
Draw no betOrlando City SC (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapToronto FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
First team to scoreOrlando City SC to score first ✓62%1.62–
Half-time resultOrlando City SC ahead at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Orlando City SC / FT Orlando City SC ✓39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Orlando City SC – last 6

WWDWLD
10 Sep@ Atlanta United FC3–2W
6 Sepvs San Diego1–0W
30 Aug@ Minnesota United FC3–3D
23 Augvs Real Salt Lake2–1W
20 Augvs Chicago Fire1–2L
16 Augvs FC Cincinnati1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Toronto FC – last 6

WDDWDW
10 Sepvs Nashville SC2–1W
6 Sepvs Chicago Fire4–4D
30 Augvs New York City FC1–1D
23 Aug@ Inter Miami2–1W
20 Augvs Charlotte3–3D
16 Augvs New England Revolution2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Orlando City SC and Toronto FC.

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

On our numbers Orlando City SC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Toronto FC 22%.

How many goals will there be in Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

Our predicted score is Orlando City SC 2–1 Toronto FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC?

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Exploria Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.