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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

St. Louis City v Minnesota United FC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · CITYPARK
St. Louis City 57%Draw 19%Minnesota United FC 24% Expected goals 1.90 – 1.12
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: St. Louis City to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSt. Louis City to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14

St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Sunday 13 September: St. Louis City v Minnesota United FC in the Major League Soccer, played at CITYPARK. In the table, St. Louis City are 3rd, among the top four, on 54 points after 34 matches; Minnesota United FC are 10th (lower half) with 44.

Current form

St. Louis City, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Portland Timbers, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Minnesota United FC, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Dallas, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours St. Louis City, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Minnesota United FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give St. Louis City 1.9 xG, Minnesota United FC 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – St. Louis City 57%, draw 19%, Minnesota United FC 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: St. Louis City to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: St. Louis City 1–1 Minnesota United FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

St. Louis City57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @3.60
Minnesota United FC24%fair 4.14 · @3.25
3.02Expected goals
1.90St. Louis City xG
1.12Minnesota United FC xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: St. Louis City 1.9 – 1.1 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSt. Louis City to win ✓57%1.741.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.44
Draw no betSt. Louis City (draw no bet) ✓70%1.42–
Asian handicapMinnesota United FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
First team to scoreSt. Louis City to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultSt. Louis City ahead at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT St. Louis City / FT St. Louis City ✓35%2.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.14–

Recent results

St. Louis City – last 6

DWDWDW
10 Sep@ Portland Timbers2–2D
6 Sep@ Vancouver Whitecaps3–1W
31 Augvs FC Dallas3–3D
23 Augvs Houston Dynamo2–1W
20 Aug@ Sporting Kansas City1–1D
16 Aug@ San Jose Earthquakes3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Minnesota United FC – last 6

LLDWLD
10 Sepvs FC Dallas1–2L
6 Sep@ Portland Timbers4–5L
30 Augvs Orlando City SC3–3D
23 Aug@ San Jose Earthquakes5–1W
20 Augvs Atlanta United FC1–2L
16 Aug@ Real Salt Lake1–1D
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between St. Louis City and Minnesota United FC.

St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?

On our numbers St. Louis City have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Minnesota United FC 24%.

How many goals will there be in St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?

Our predicted score is St. Louis City 1–1 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC?

St. Louis City vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at CITYPARK.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.