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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC: numbers & prediction

Major League Soccer · USA · Children's Mercy Park
Sporting Kansas City 15%Draw 22%Los Angeles FC 64% Expected goals 0.92 – 2.10
85%
Betarazi pick

Los Angeles FC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Los Angeles FC to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLos Angeles FC to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceLos Angeles FC or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Sunday 13 September: Sporting Kansas City v Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer, played at Children's Mercy Park. In the table, Sporting Kansas City are 15th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 34 matches; Los Angeles FC are 6th (upper half) with 47. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Sporting Kansas City, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to FC Dallas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Los Angeles FC, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over New York Red Bulls, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Los Angeles FC, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Sporting Kansas City.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Los Angeles FC 4–0 Sporting Kansas City.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Kansas City 0.9 xG, Los Angeles FC 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Kansas City 15%, draw 22%, Los Angeles FC 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Los Angeles FC or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Los Angeles FC to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Los Angeles FC or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Los Angeles FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sporting Kansas City15%fair 6.77 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.90
Los Angeles FC64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
3.02Expected goals
0.92Sporting Kansas City xG
2.10Los Angeles FC xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Sporting Kansas City 0.9 – 2.1 Los Angeles FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLos Angeles FC to win ✗64%1.571.73 ▲
Double chanceLos Angeles FC or draw ✗85%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.53
Draw no betLos Angeles FC (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapLos Angeles FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreLos Angeles FC to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultLos Angeles FC ahead at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Los Angeles FC / FT Los Angeles FC ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Sporting Kansas City – last 6

LLLDLL
6 Sep@ FC Dallas3–4L
30 Augvs Vancouver Whitecaps0–3L
24 Aug@ Atlanta United FC1–2L
20 Augvs St. Louis City1–1D
16 Aug@ Colorado Rapids0–2L
2 Augvs Houston Dynamo0–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Los Angeles FC – last 6

WDDDLL
10 Sepvs New York Red Bulls2–0W
6 Sep@ Real Salt Lake2–2D
30 Aug@ DC United0–0D
23 Augvs Portland Timbers1–1D
20 Aug@ Colorado Rapids0–1L
16 Augvs San Diego0–1L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Los Angeles FC v Sporting Kansas City4–0
Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps341978+4064
2FC Dallas3416108+1158
3St. Louis City3415910+1154
4San Jose Earthquakes34141010+652
5Houston Dynamo3414911051
6Los Angeles FC34121111+1247
7Portland Timbers3413714+146
8Seattle Sounders34121012-246
9Real Salt Lake3413615+145
10Minnesota United FC34111112-244
11Los Angeles Galaxy34111112-744
12Colorado Rapids3412715-343
13San Diego3491114-638
14Austin3481016-2334
15Sporting Kansas City347522-4126

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?

Our pick is Los Angeles FC or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?

On our numbers Sporting Kansas City have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Los Angeles FC 64%.

How many goals will there be in Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?

Our predicted score is Sporting Kansas City 0–2 Los Angeles FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC?

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Children's Mercy Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.