Houston Dynamo 57%Draw 18%FC Cincinnati 25%Expected goals 2.15 – 1.34
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Houston Dynamo to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHouston Dynamo to win ✗57% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Major League Soccer brings Houston Dynamo against FC Cincinnati at Shell Energy Stadium. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Houston Dynamo are 5th, upper half, on 51 points after 34 matches; FC Cincinnati are 9th (lower half) with 46.
Current form
Houston Dynamo, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Jose Earthquakes, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Cincinnati, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Charlotte, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Houston Dynamo 2.1 xG, FC Cincinnati 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Houston Dynamo 57%, draw 18%, FC Cincinnati 25%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Houston Dynamo to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Houston Dynamo 2–1 FC Cincinnati. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Houston Dynamo57%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @3.70
FC Cincinnati25%fair 4.01 · @3.20
3.49Expected goals
2.15Houston Dynamo xG
1.34FC Cincinnati xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Houston Dynamo 2.1 – 1.3 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Houston Dynamo to win✗
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Draw no bet
Houston Dynamo (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
FC Cincinnati +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
First team to score
Houston Dynamo to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Houston Dynamo ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Houston Dynamo / FT Houston Dynamo✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.59
–
Recent results
Houston Dynamo – last 6
LWDDLW
13 Sep
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Real Salt Lake
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Charlotte
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs San Jose Earthquakes
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ St. Louis City
1–2
L
20 Aug
@ Vancouver Whitecaps
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
FC Cincinnati – last 6
DLLDWD
13 Sep
vs Charlotte
3–3
D
10 Sep
@ Philadelphia Union
0–5
L
30 Aug
@ Nashville SC
0–4
L
23 Aug
vs Seattle Sounders
1–1
D
20 Aug
vs New York City FC
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Orlando City SC
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Houston Dynamo and FC Cincinnati.
What is the prediction for Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati?
On our numbers Houston Dynamo have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FC Cincinnati 25%.
How many goals will there be in Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati?
Our predicted score is Houston Dynamo 2–1 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati?
Houston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Shell Energy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Columbus Crew2
New England Revolution4
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DC United1
Charlotte2
Philadelphia Union4
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